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09 August 2008
America gave the green light to S. Ossetia attack

We speculated yesterday that Washington gave tacit encouragement to the Georgian attack on South Ossetia, and now evidence is emerging that the United States did exactly that. The Daily Telegraph reports that the deal seems to have involved a 48 hour timescale during which the province was to be brought to heel. However, all that relied on the Russians doing nothing during that period, but as we have seen, Moscow sent the boys in hard and fast on the first day of the fighting.

So the Americans seem to have fallen back on their Plan B. Yesterday in Peking, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin was warmly embraced by President George Bush, and the Americans have not even responded to Russia's pretty ferocious bombing of Gori which, as the video above shows, left many civilians dead. It will be interesting to see if the Russians now go on to bomb the Georgian capital, Tbilisi, and if they do, what the reaction in Washington will be.

So what is Plan B? It's quite straight forward - it involves leaving the Georgians with their arses hanging out the window. They are on their own and that serves them right for listening to Washington's sweet blandishments.



Putin will never fail Russia, he's the living embodiment of the word "patriot".

What on earth doesn't Nato and the Western allies, clearly understand, about him, he's ex KGB, and head of the KGB at that.

Do you suppose for one moment, he'll let an idiot upstart like Bush, dominate his motherland... honestly, the Neo Cons, to the detriment of Europe and the US, do not understand foreign culture.

Cultures such as the Russians and Chinese, will fight - to the death, for their homelands.
They don't have an "obesity" crisis, a drug crisis, or an underclass that will fail the state.

The Sooner Bush goes, the better for World Stability.

Did Bush really consider, even for one second, that Putin would not order WAR. Gosh, Bush is the embodiment of all that infers stupidity, whereas Putin, is the embodiment of classial tactics, strategy and defence of the realm.

9 August 2008 at 22:08  

Russia is resurgent and Putin is fucking good leader. What the media and pollys seem to forget is Russia is an allie.

Did anyone seriously think that Georgia was going to be allowed to join NATO.

9 August 2008 at 22:26  

Russia gets the neutering of the Azeri-Georgian oil pipeline and an anschluss if lucky out of all this, plus the future dependence of Kazakh, Turk, and European oil interests on pipelines running through Russian territory once Iran and Georgia are sidelined. It really is a major power play and Putin is executing it in a way that would make Bismarck catch his breath.

9 August 2008 at 22:31  


Let's be honest and say that Putin was probably enjoying a Chinese takeaway - hopefully miniskirted - when all this began. He did not get back to Russia until today.

Medvedev who is now the president seems to be the man who made things happen.

9 August 2008 at 22:42  

Are jesting Mr Exile or playing Devils advocate? Putin has been building for this day for years. We are talking Russia's National security and National Pride. Georgia played straight into his hands.

Its not the Oil! that's just a nice bonus

9 August 2008 at 23:23  

Putin is in Vladikavkaz, North Ossetia right now. He's supervising operations.

9 August 2008 at 23:36  

The Russians say that he is supervising the refugees, which makes sense to me. The last thing that the overall commander of operations needs to be is so close to the action that he cannot see the wood for the trees.

It makes more sense for the decisions to be taken from a comfortable office in Moscow.

9 August 2008 at 23:54  

That makes sense, and you make a good point. Putin's also not alone there--there are two other ministers with him. Medvedev has also made each of his orders clear in public, and Putin and others have been careful to refer to him as the ultimate authority. Yet even Bismarck had a Kaiser exile!

9 August 2008 at 23:58  

"The last thing that the overall commander of operations needs to be is so close to the action"

You think so, I think he is fine leader/commander in chief. Look at who we got, and the Americans have just got to pray for January, and then its either the bay of pigs or dementia.

Interesting times Mr Exile

10 August 2008 at 00:01  

Georgia has withdrawn from Iraq. Perhaps Russia should consider invading the United Kingdom.

10 August 2008 at 00:23  


If you are still around I am going to have to drop out of this debate as my next update needs to be written - a lot has happened, so stay tuned.

10 August 2008 at 00:28  

David Lindsay said...

Georgia has withdrawn from Iraq. Perhaps Russia should consider invading the United Kingdom.

I think if we don't stop punching above our weight, that is a possibility, definitely a missile to tell us to behave. Russia and the UK should be allies ......it is stupid politics to do anything else.

10 August 2008 at 00:29  

In Serbia we have a saying - I paid a coin to join the dance, and I'd pay five if only they'd let me leave. The Georgians chose when to begin their cunning little offensive - I particularly liked the way Shakasvili blamed -Russia- for starting a war during the Olympics - at the moment of their choosing.

The moment the war ends will not be of their choosing, it appears. That'll happen only when Russia is good and goddamn ready - and a few more realpolitik lessons have been imparted.

Such as - a superpower across the border is worth three across the sea.

10 August 2008 at 04:29  

How does that saying translate in Serbian? I love the way Putin/Medvedev are giving it to Georgia right now--you don't poke a bear (repeatedly) and expect it to not at some point bite you in the ass (if your lucky) or worse...
Zivela Rusija (and Serbia)!

10 August 2008 at 16:48  

I love the comments on this BLOG!!!

10 August 2008 at 16:52  

Tell me about them. The blog allows open comments so folk can say what they like without fear of censorship.

At the moment we are getting hits from the Russian and Serb blogs, and things tend to get a bit hairy when they arrive.

I posted today a story about how Israel is helping the Georgians. Nobody has commented on that one yet, which surprises me.

10 August 2008 at 19:45  

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