# Contact info submission url: exile-blog.blogspot.com site_owner: address1: address2: city: state: country: postal_code: phone_number: display_email: site_name: site_description: The Exile

E-Mail Me

My Twitter

Top Blogs

LeftWing2

Campaign 4 Public Ownership

FASO

FASSIT

Mothers For Justice

Ian Josephs

UKSecretCourt's Videos

Unity-Injustice




Chris Paul

David Lindsay

Heresy Corner

Machetera

Martin Meenagh

Neil Clark

Organised Rage

Renegade Eye

Serb Blog

Splintered Sunrise

Star of Vergina

Unrepentant Communist

Agitprop

British Politics

Censorship 01

Collaborators

Gimlet

Imperialism

Memories

Mexico

New Britain 01

New Britain 02

Sleaze

Social Work Industry

Wankblogs

Working Class

Atom Feed

XML Feed





09 May 2008
Let's invade Burma, chants the world of wank
The French and Americans have argued that their respective military forces should just charge into Burma and start dishing out aid to the victims of Cyclone Nargis. The Exile can see two problems with this wheeze.

The first is that large chunks of Burma are controlled by regional warlords, who are former ethnic guerrilla fighters who have been co-opted onto the government team. They get a Burmese army rank, but run their fiefdoms pretty much as they wish. It may very well be that one of the reasons why Rangoon has delayed giving permission for the aid industry to get involved is that the generals who ostensibly run the country cannot get all the regional rulers to agree.

The problem here is that if the Franco-Americans do decide to be silly, then getting their forces into Burma may be the least of their worries. Getting them out again could be the problem. They could find that they are trying to distribute aid whilst various ethnic militias are taking pot shots at them. Obviously they will stop doing the former and start defending themselves against the attacks, all the while blaming the central government for the unfolding shooting war. The fact that Rangoon will probably not be to blame is something that will get overlooked as Fox News starts screaming that something needs to be done...

The second factor that needs to be considered is the fact that China is Burma's closest diplomatic backer, and that the cornerstone of Chinese diplomacy rests on a firm respect for national sovereignty. Has anyone considered China's reaction? The thought of what Peking may order its army to do is enough to give anyone nightmares.

What we are looking at here is the law of unintended consequences writ large. Paris and Washington really do seem to believe that we are all post-modernists under the skin, and that all the old divisions can be consigned to the history books.

Or maybe they just don't care? Maybe hubris has got to them and they think that they can do as they please, courtesy of their armed forces? One would have thought that Iraq would have taught the Americans a lesson, but seemingly that is not the case.

As for Burma and her agony, invading the place is hardly likely to make it any better, is it?
1 Comments:

Oppossed as I am to military intervention in Burma to distribute aid, your supporting reasoning is wrong. The places hit by the cyclone are ethnically Burmese and fully under the control of the junta; and, that junta could easily allow in humanitarian aid/expertise should it wish to. Its deep insecurity is accentuated by Burma's ethnic conflict but primarily because the vast majority of Burmese would like it to go - as fully demonstrated by the last free poll the junta allowed.

18 May 2008 at 10:44  

Post a Comment

Links to this post:

Create a Link

<< Home