17 September 2007
America almost certain to attack Iran
America looks almost certain to launch an attack upon Iran, probably early next year. The plan seems to involve creating a border incident in the hope that the Iranians will respond, and then send the bombers in. The only matter still under debate seems to be whether the Americans will bomb Iran back to the stone age, or be content with leaving them in the bronze.
Sadly, it looks as if the new French government will either join in the attack, or support it diplomatically, at least if the language that is coming out of Paris is to be believed.
The British for their part seem to have made it clear to the Americans that they cannot join in this new colonial adventure.
The strategy for British anti-imperialists should be obvious. We need to redouble our calls for the remaining British forces to be withdrawn from Iraq as quickly as possible. The fear must be that the chimp will order his attack while they are still in place, in the hope that Britain will be forced to remain and fight. If the army is no longer there, then there is nothing that the simian can do to involve us.
The only thing that is clear at the moment is that nothing is clear. The American plans seem to involve the Iranians doing exactly as the Americans expect - just as planning for the war against iraq involved the Iraqis falling into line. If the Iranians are as astute as the Iraqis turned out to be, then the USA could be in for a nasty surprise. The fact that just about everyone now accepts that Iran is the next course on the beast's menu has given the Iranians plenty of time to plan their response.
For all our sakes, let's hope that their response is effective.