17 January 2007
Tension mounts in the Gulf
As the USA prepares to send another carrier group to the Persian Gulf, Iran has announced that it has shot down an American pilotless drone over its airspace. It all looks like sabre rattling, if only because even the chimp is not so stupid as to order his forces to attack Iran and run the risk that the Iraqi Shia will then rise up and destroy the American army in Iraq.
However, and here is where things start to get interesting: has anyone told the Iranians that? We may happily assume that the Americans are rational enough not to try and take on Iran, but can the Iranians be sure?
Would it not make sense for them to try and catch the Americans on the hop and mount an attack of their own against the occupation forces in Iraq?
Why wait for the USAF to arrive, when you can at least destroy the American army that sits right next door?