20 December 2006
Bush and his Ardennes Offensive
Germany's generals warned Hitler that his planned Ardennes offensive would not work. He ignored them and launched it anyway. At least Germany had the element of surprise on her side, so managed to make some limited gains. Alas for Hitler, the generals were correct, and the offensive ended in failure.
Now America's generals are warning their leader that his plan to send an extra 50,000 troops to Iraq is as doomed to failure as Hitler's plan was all those years ago.
The Iraqis must know that all they have to do is hold on. They don't even have to win any battles - the Americans can win all the tactical victories going. What the Iraqis have to do is still have a fighting force in the field when the American surge runs out of steam. It does not take a military genius to figure out that the USA armed forces are undermanned and have been stretched to the limit by their war against Iraq. This planned offensive is their last throw of the dice. When it is over the Americans have no more cards left to play.