31 July 2006
Major regional war now a possibility
|The main reason why a ceasefire is so urgent needed along the Lebanese-Israeli border is the fear that if one doesn't come soon then the war could spread. There are signs that this is what is starting to happen. The Israeli's bombed a border crossing into Syria that led to the closure of that border point. Luckily for all concerned the bombs fell about half a mile inside Lebanon, but sooner or later the Israeli bombs could land the same distance inside Syria.|
If that happens then the Syrians could decide to take the hit and try to keep their heads down. On the other hand they might find that Iran is only too willing to keep to its treaty obligations with Syria, and the Iranian armed forces go into action against the Israelis. Or they could lunge into Iraq and attack the Americans.
Either way the wars in Iraq and Lebanon would merge into one big regional conflict, with an end result that cannot be predicted.